Trade-Up Calculator Deterministic math · official formulas

Classic contract · 10 Restricted (purple) → Classified (pink)prices are demo data

Materials (10 · same rarity)

Wear tier:

0.1240

Output wear = output range mapping (official formula) · cross-collection mixing supported (output odds by material share)

Material cost

¥ 135.00

Expected value

¥ 92.00

Break-even

0.0%

Near break-even

output value ≥ 90% of cost

0.0%

Jackpot rate

odds of the priciest output

33.3%

Worst-case profit

max loss

¥ 56.60

Buy the material bundle（10 items）

Bundle pricing: cheapest legal materials per collection × 10

We deliver the materials to your Steam inventory; sign the trade-up contract in game to finish.

Trade-Up Simulator Official odds · local draw

Draws one outcome by its probability; output wear is deterministic from the official formula, paint seed is 1–1000 random.

Simulation may deviate from the in-game contract result.

Outcome projection

Probability total 1.00 (below 1 = inputs include collections outside the candidate pool)

Output	Collection	Odds	Output wear	Tier	Value	ROI	EV share
AWP \| Graphite	The Bravo Collection	33.3%	0.014880	FN	¥ 99.20	−27%	¥ 33.07
P90 \| Emerald Dragon	The Bravo Collection	33.3%	0.117040	MW	¥ 98.40	−27%	¥ 32.80
P2000 \| Ocean Foam	The Bravo Collection	33.3%	0.014880	FN	¥ 78.40	−42%	¥ 26.13

…

Output

Collection

Odds

Output wear

Tier

Value

ROI

EV share

AWP | Graphite

The Bravo Collection

33.3%

0.014880

¥ 99.20

−27%

¥ 33.07

P90 | Emerald Dragon

The Bravo Collection

33.3%

0.117040

¥ 98.40

−27%

¥ 32.80

P2000 | Ocean Foam

The Bravo Collection

33.3%

0.014880

¥ 78.40

−42%

¥ 26.13